Tim Skubick: Poll shows Mark Schauer's likely voters - DC News FOX 5 DC WTTG

Tim Skubick: Poll shows Mark Schauer's likely voters

Posted: Updated:
LANSING, Mich. (WJBK) -

Democratic challenger Mark Schauer can beat incumbent Gov. Rick Snyder if the voting population is narrowly drawn based on the latest EPIC-MRA numbers.  Or put another way, he wins but only if his supporters are the only ones who vote which is pretty unlikely.

When you dive into the survey you see that the person who supports Mr. Scahuer has the following profile: Pro-choice, lives in a labor household, is between 50-64 and is a non-believer when it comes to religion.

In addition, that voter is a liberal, no shocker there, earns under $25,000 a year and resides in Macomb County.

However Mr. Snyder holds a lead in all the other segments of the voting universe.

Yet if you are in the Schauer camp you could draw some solice from knowing that pro-choice voters favor him by a wide 55%-32% margin.  The lead is a little bigger, 57%-33% in union households and the challenger has a ten point lead with those between 50-and 64 years of age and a twenty-four point margin with those who don't go to church.

In the all important moderate voter contest, it is a tie with each receiving 41% of the middle of the road vote.

President Barack Obama rode to victory over Mitt Romney by holding together the African-American vote and the "other" minority voting blocks.

Mr. Schauer is doing well there with a commanding 61-17 point lead with Blacks and a 55%-30% lead with other minorities.  The 17 points for a GOP incumbent is pretty good and Mr. Schauer will want to up that 61% figure before all the votes are counted.

In vote rich Wayne-Oakland-Macomb Counties the two are very close.  Mr. Schauer gets 45% to Mr. Snyder's 42% but with a 4% margin of error, the contest is a dead heat there.  Across the rest of the state the governor is doing well with a 22 point lead in Mid-Michigan, 25 points in West Michigan and 20 and 27 points respectively in the Bay region and up North.

The pundits will suggest Democrat Schauer has a base of supporters from which to work, but he'll need to build upon that or else the other guy wins.  But has the Schauer folks like to say, "it's still early."

  • Download the FOX 2 Apps


  • FOX 2 News Five-Day Forecast
  • PoliticalMore>>

  • Shedding light on Clinton's health overhaul flop

    Shedding light on Clinton's health overhaul flop

    Sunday, April 20 2014 8:33 AM EDT2014-04-20 12:33:14 GMT
    Thousands of pages of documents from President Bill Clinton's White House affirm a longtime adage: The more things change, the more they stay the same.
    Thousands of pages of documents from President Bill Clinton's White House affirm a longtime adage: The more things change, the more they stay the same.
  • Obama: Easter a time to reflect on hope, renewal

    Obama: Easter a time to reflect on hope, renewal

    Sunday, April 20 2014 8:33 AM EDT2014-04-20 12:33:11 GMT
    President Barack Obama is encouraging Americans to draw strength and inspiration from the Easter and Passover holidays.
    President Barack Obama is encouraging Americans to draw strength and inspiration from the Easter and Passover holidays.
  • Delay won't quell 2014 wrangling over Keystone XL

    Delay won't quell 2014 wrangling over Keystone XL

    Sunday, April 20 2014 8:33 AM EDT2014-04-20 12:33:03 GMT
    Democrats sweating this year's elections may be hoping that the Obama administration's latest delay to the proposed Keystone XL pipeline takes a politically fraught issue off the table for the midterms.
    Democrats sweating this year's elections may be hoping that the Obama administration's latest delay to the proposed Keystone XL pipeline takes a politically fraught issue off the table for the midterms.
Powered by WorldNow

WTTG FOX 5 & myfoxdc
5151 Wisconsin Ave. NW
Washington, DC 20016
Main Number: (202) 244-5151
Newsroom: (202) 895-3000
fox5tips@wttg.com

Didn't find what you were looking for?
All content © Copyright 2000 - 2014 Fox Television Stations, Inc. and Worldnow. All Rights Reserved.
Privacy Policy | Terms of Service | Ad Choices